Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.099834 0.115440 0.132670 0.153104 0.176681 0.203034 0.234736
2025-12-21 0.075309 0.096234 0.121705 0.154991 0.197366 0.249542 0.318742
2025-12-28 0.064093 0.087838 0.118783 0.162068 0.221095 0.298864 0.409298
2026-01-04 0.055618 0.080700 0.115259 0.166352 0.240049 0.342651 0.496691
2026-01-11 0.049136 0.074909 0.112172 0.169974 0.257496 0.385303 0.586662
2026-01-18 0.043483 0.069290 0.108244 0.171324 0.271081 0.423107 0.673183
2026-01-25 0.038109 0.063232 0.102676 0.169107 0.278417 0.451624 0.747992
2026-02-01 0.033017 0.056874 0.095723 0.163575 0.279407 0.469692 0.807390
2026-02-08 0.030251 0.053967 0.093925 0.166128 0.293698 0.510455 0.908484
2026-02-15 0.027562 0.050822 0.091289 0.166800 0.304607 0.546325 1.004705
2026-02-22 0.025462 0.048444 0.089666 0.168958 0.318182 0.587933 1.115320
2026-03-01 0.022868 0.044829 0.085381 0.165685 0.321312 0.610846 1.193635
2026-03-08 0.020696 0.041800 0.081919 0.163700 0.326897 0.639352 1.286825
2026-03-15 0.019234 0.039994 0.080585 0.165698 0.340449 0.684492 1.417863
2026-03-22 0.018529 0.039617 0.081984 0.173263 0.365868 0.755362 1.608477
2026-03-29 0.017571 0.038595 0.081953 0.177843 0.385590 0.816713 1.786087
2026-04-05 0.016630 0.037493 0.081621 0.181714 0.404175 0.877521 1.969158
2026-04-12 0.015563 0.035984 0.080252 0.183157 0.417599 0.928675 2.136650
2026-04-19 0.014292 0.033868 0.077326 0.180787 0.422234 0.961123 2.265622
2026-04-26 0.012887 0.031277 0.073061 0.174874 0.418103 0.973558 2.349789
2026-05-03 0.012224 0.030367 0.072528 0.177603 0.434399 1.034037 2.553671
2026-05-10 0.011483 0.029180 0.071219 0.178321 0.445941 1.084565 2.739047
2026-05-17 0.010901 0.028320 0.070593 0.180627 0.461580 1.146345 2.958841